From climate change to insecurity by Silvia Szarkova

U. S intelligence agencies' reported judgment have always been based on the deeply understanding of the situation. Well, here is an another issue released by these agencies, which states things we have been recognized for ages, but we have never spoken about it so loudly as we do in last years.

Global changes we are facing to, especially global warming, are more likely to cause humanitarian disasters, illegal immigration and the destabilizations of the local governments can lead to threaten national security and independence of the countries worldwide, stated the last report.

Africa is extremely susceptible, the report says. Especially Sub- Saharan regions and the Middle East parts are expected to increase in droughts & agricultural yields of rain dependent crops are supposed to decline by a half in the next 12 years.

Southern and eastern Asia parts are more likely to both droughts and floods, expecting a 10 percent decrease in number of bred rice and grain crops.

Latin America could not deal with the increased number of precipitation,

In addition, another 50 million of people will suffer hunger by 2020. The population is still growing, consumption twice faster, glaciers are melting faster and faster. From 120 million to 1.2 milliard people in Asia have not enough water supply and continue to suffer from water stress.

The intelligence assessment also warn of harmful consequences of spillover. Tom Fingar, deputy director of national intelligence for analysis, sees the biggest problem in the fact, that these changes have a planetary impact, not local, but global. He also says of USA: " We judge that the most significant impact for the United States will be indirect and result from climate- driven effects on many other countries and their potential affect U.S. National security interests. "

According to another expert Adm. T. Joseph Lopez, who was in charge of peacekeeping in Bosnia in 1996, climate change will probably provide conditions to extend war on terror.

The assessment released by U. S intelligence agencies was required by the government on year ago.

by Silvia Szarkova for PocketNews (http://pocketnews.tv)

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edited by Beata Biskova