Chris Cantell Discusses Science: Predviduvanje na zemjotres by Zivka Deleva

Koneno zdruenite instituti, Juno Kaliforniskiot zemjotresen centar, Geolokite istrauvai na SAD i Geolokite istrauvai od Kalifornija, ja objavija nivnata studija na zemjotresite koi treba da se sluat a koi verojatno ke ja pogodat Kalifornija. Studijata ja dobi poddrkata od Zemjotresnite vlasti koi sezanimavaat so osiguritelnite stapki niz celata zemja. Spored 3 godinata studija otkriena vo ponedelnikot, ima 99.7 procenti zemjotres so sila od 6,7 da se slui vo 2037 godina i isto taka ima 97 procenti ansa istiot da udri vo Juna Kalifornija i samo 93 procenti da udri bilo kade. Bez ogled na toa koj del ke bide zafaten, Ned Fild, geofiziar i glaven avtor na studijata ne osigura deka istiot ke se slui so sigurnost. Kako eden od najseizmino aktivnite regioni Kalifornija se soouva so 300 udari niz celata drava so 10000 potresi sekoja godina, no sa sreka tie ne se tolku golemi za da bidat pouvstvuvani. Vsunost postavenosta nad Tihiot Okean i Severno amerikanskite tektonski ploi ja generiraat ovaa nesreka. Na primer, vo 1994 godina zemjotres koj ja pogodi dolinata San Fernando vo Los Andzeles predizvika 72 mrtvi, 9000 raneti i teta od 25 bilioni dolari.Ne e prv pat da se objavi deka vakva katastrofa ke se slui, zatoa to ute vo 2003 godina izvetaj objaven vo San Francisko veli deka ima 62 procenti monost da se sooime so zemjotres so jaina 6,7 vo 2032 godina. dodeka studijata gi zgolemuva ansite na 63 procenti za istoto da se slui vo 2037 godina, i do 67 procenti koga ke stigne do Basenot Los Andzeles. Ne pomalku, ovaa studija moe da ponudi vani informacii za crtanke na hazardni mapi, apdejtiranje na kodovite na zgradite i planovi vo sluaj na itna sostojba ili samo kolku da se vospostavat zemjotresnite osiguritelni stapki. I pokraj faktot deka naunicite ne moe da ja predvidat so sigurnost od 100 procenti datata na zemjotresot ili tonata lokacija, sepak moe da ponudat vnatrena perspektiva i predupreduvanje za idnite iteli, posebno za onie koi se smesteni vo oblasta na Elsinor i San Hasinto Folts vo juna Kalifornija, Kaskadija Subduction zonata 750 milji dolga pokraj bregot.

related story: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080414/ap_on_hi_te/cuba_cell_phones;_ylt=Ai3NvJhgJBaUPuVS7_Vn01as0NUE

by Zivka Deleva for PocketNews (http://pocketnews.tv)

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edited by Zuzana Lakostikova